SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
26.12% ( 0.15) | 29.4% ( -0.46) | 44.48% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.85% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.72% ( 1.37) | 65.28% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( 0.94) | 84.08% ( -0.94) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% ( 0.93) | 42.12% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.46% ( 0.8) | 78.54% ( -0.8) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0.86) | 29.41% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( 1.03) | 65.41% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 15.16% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.4% Total : 44.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 65 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Albacete | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 8 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | Huesca | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 15 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 27 |
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