SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Lugo |
54.23% ( 1.4) | 26.44% ( -0.29) | 19.33% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.28% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.16) | 61.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( -0.12) | 81.05% ( 0.13) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0.54) | 22.76% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.55% ( 0.79) | 56.45% ( -0.79) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -1.35) | 46.56% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.85% ( -1.06) | 82.15% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.68% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 54.22% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | Granada | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Levante | 31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Albacete | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Burgos | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | MirandesMirandes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 | Leganes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 36 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Malaga | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 26 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 24 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 24 |
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