SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Lugo |
48.94% ( -1.23) | 25.88% ( 0.15) | 25.18% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( 0.27) | 54.01% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( 0.23) | 75.44% ( -0.23) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -0.42) | 22.09% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.55% ( -0.64) | 55.45% ( 0.64) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( 1.11) | 36.62% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.59% ( 1.1) | 73.4% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.82% Total : 25.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Levante | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Granada | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Albacete | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Burgos | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Leganes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Huesca | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 35 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 20 |
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