SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Alaves |
42.94% ( -0.02) | 29.66% ( 0.02) | 27.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.49% ( -0.07) | 65.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.75% ( -0.04) | 84.24% ( 0.05) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( -0.04) | 30.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.42% ( -0.05) | 66.57% ( 0.05) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.04) | 41.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.32% ( -0.04) | 77.67% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 63 |
| 2 | Granada | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Levante | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 59 |
| 4 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Albacete | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Burgos | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Huesca | 33 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 41 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 41 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Leganes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 40 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 39 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 38 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
| 20 | UD Ibiza | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 28 |
| 21 | Malaga | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 25 |
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