SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Zaragoza | 41 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 | Sporting Gijon | 41 | -4 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
56% ( 2.13) | 25.42% ( -0.75) | 18.58% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.42% ( 1.01) | 58.58% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.86% ( 0.78) | 79.14% ( -0.78) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 1.3) | 20.98% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.26% ( 1.99) | 53.74% ( -1.99) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( -1) | 45.97% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.31% ( -0.79) | 81.69% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Granada | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Levante | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Albacete | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Leganes | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | MirandesMirandes | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 23 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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