SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 35.55%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
35.55% ( 0.2) | 30.26% ( -0) | 34.2% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.02) | 65.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.48% ( 0.01) | 84.52% ( -0.01) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( 0.15) | 35.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.1% ( 0.15) | 71.9% ( -0.15) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( -0.13) | 36.08% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.14% ( -0.13) | 72.86% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.68% 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.25% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 34.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Burgos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 |
| 15 | Eldense | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Huesca | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 23 |
| 19 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | CartagenaCartagena | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 18 |
| 22 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
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