SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ponferradina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Huesca |
37.47% ( -0.09) | 27.73% ( -0.01) | 34.8% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.73% ( 0.05) | 57.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( 0.04) | 78.11% ( -0.05) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.03) | 29.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.52% ( -0.03) | 65.48% ( 0.03) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 0.09) | 31.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.53% ( 0.11) | 67.46% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Huesca |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 34.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 69 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 40 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 68 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 67 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 67 |
| 5 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 6 | Albacete | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 50 |
| 17 | Huesca | 40 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 49 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 49 |
| 19 | Malaga | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 40 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 28 |
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