SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Las Palmas |
25.28% ( -0.05) | 24.25% ( -0.11) | 50.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.43) | 47.35% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.39) | 69.57% ( -0.39) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.18) | 32.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.5% ( 0.2) | 69.5% ( -0.2) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% ( 0.23) | 18.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.8% ( 0.39) | 50.2% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.28% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | EibarEibar | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 53 |
| 4 | Levante | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Granada | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Albacete | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Burgos | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Leganes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Huesca | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 35 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 33 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 20 |
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