Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.