SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Lugo | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Tenerife | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Malaga | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Leganes | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lugo | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Tenerife | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Lugo |
46.47% ( 0.06) | 28.66% ( -0.02) | 24.87% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.29% ( 0.04) | 63.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.02% ( 0.03) | 82.98% ( -0.03) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.05) | 27.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.87% ( 0.06) | 63.13% ( -0.06) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.64% ( -0.02) | 42.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.26% ( -0.01) | 78.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.04% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.11% Total : 24.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 64 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 61 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 5 | Levante | 34 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | Albacete | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Burgos | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 49 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Huesca | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 43 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 41 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 40 |
| 17 | Leganes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 38 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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