Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
