Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
