SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Burgos |
49.65% ( -0.09) | 28.39% ( 0.01) | 21.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 39.81% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.02) | 64.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% ( 0.02) | 83.71% ( -0.02) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( -0.03) | 26.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.31% ( -0.04) | 61.68% ( 0.04) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.16% ( 0.09) | 45.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.4% ( 0.07) | 81.59% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 16.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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