SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.06%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Racing de Santander |
30.09% ( 0) | 29.98% | 39.92% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.36% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.36% ( -0) | 65.64% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.66% ( -0) | 84.34% ( 0) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0) | 38.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.29% | 75.71% ( 0) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0) | 32.21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( -0) | 68.7% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.98% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.53% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 12.55% 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 14.22% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.79% Total : 39.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 69 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 40 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 68 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 67 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 67 |
| 5 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 6 | Albacete | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 50 |
| 17 | Huesca | 40 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 49 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 49 |
| 19 | Malaga | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 40 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 28 |
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