SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.98%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
30.34% ( 0.45) | 30.15% ( -0.39) | 39.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.94% ( 1.22) | 66.06% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.38% ( 0.83) | 84.62% ( -0.83) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( 1.06) | 39.03% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.25% ( 0.98) | 75.75% ( -0.98) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( 0.61) | 32.68% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.77% ( 0.67) | 69.23% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.52% Total : 30.34% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.14% | 0-1 @ 14.26% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 65 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Albacete | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 8 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | Huesca | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 15 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 27 |
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