SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Las Palmas |
23.18% ( 0.73) | 29.05% ( 0.18) | 47.77% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 39.45% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.17% ( -0.06) | 65.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.53% ( -0.04) | 84.47% ( 0.04) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.7) | 45.24% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.88% ( 0.56) | 81.12% ( -0.55) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.49) | 27.95% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.41% ( -0.63) | 63.58% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.71% Total : 23.18% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 16.11% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.26)1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.54% Total : 47.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Granada | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 58 |
| 4 | Levante | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 56 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Albacete | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Burgos | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Villarreal II | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 44 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Huesca | 32 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 41 |
| 12 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 40 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 40 |
| 14 | Leganes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 39 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 39 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 33 |
| 20 | Malaga | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 25 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 25 |
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