SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.72%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Burgos |
57.21% ( 0.08) | 26.32% ( -0.02) | 16.47% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.2% ( -0.02) | 63.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.96% ( -0.01) | 83.04% ( 0.01) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0.03) | 22.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.71% ( 0.04) | 56.29% ( -0.04) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.23% ( -0.09) | 51.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.14% ( -0.06) | 85.85% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 17.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.19% | 0-0 @ 11.72% 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 66 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Levante | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Albacete | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 58 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 56 |
| 8 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 51 |
| 9 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 46 |
| 13 | Huesca | 36 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 15 | Leganes | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | Malaga | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 39 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 27 |
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