SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 41.07%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Racing de Santander |
41.07% ( -0.44) | 30.57% ( 0.23) | 28.36% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 39.32% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.23% ( -0.57) | 67.77% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.22% ( -0.38) | 85.78% ( 0.38) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( -0.56) | 32.64% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.82% ( -0.63) | 69.18% ( 0.63) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( -0.15) | 41.63% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.89% ( -0.13) | 78.11% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 15.21% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.07% | 0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.28) 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.56% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 28.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 65 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Albacete | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 53 |
| 8 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 47 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Huesca | 36 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 46 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Leganes | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 45 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | Malaga | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 36 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 27 |
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