SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Racing de Santander |
40.6% ( -0.62) | 29.22% ( 0.16) | 30.18% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 43.33% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.37) | 63.25% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.35% ( -0.27) | 82.65% ( 0.27) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.54) | 30.58% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.18% ( -0.65) | 66.81% ( 0.65) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( 0.16) | 37.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.65% ( 0.15) | 74.35% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 30.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Granada | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 58 |
| 4 | Levante | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 56 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Albacete | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Burgos | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Villarreal II | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 44 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Huesca | 32 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 41 |
| 12 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 40 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 40 |
| 14 | Leganes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 39 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 39 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 33 |
| 20 | Malaga | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 25 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 25 |
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