SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 44.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Mirandes |
44.86% ( -0.09) | 27.78% ( 0.04) | 27.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.09) | 59.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.07) | 79.89% ( 0.07) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.09) | 26.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.35% ( -0.12) | 61.65% ( 0.12) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 0) | 37.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.43% ( 0) | 74.57% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 41 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 64 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 52 |
| 13 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 41 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 33 |
| R | LugoLugo | 41 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 28 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
