SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Mirandes |
38.21% ( -0.27) | 28.64% ( 0.14) | 33.15% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.27% ( -0.49) | 60.73% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.21% ( -0.37) | 80.79% ( 0.37) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.41) | 30.73% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33% ( -0.48) | 66.99% ( 0.48) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.17) | 34.03% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.29% ( -0.18) | 70.71% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.21% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 55 |
| 9 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 10 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 39 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 28 |
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