SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Ponferradina |
45.41% ( -0.06) | 27.91% ( -0.15) | 26.67% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( 0.61) | 60.35% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( 0.46) | 80.51% ( -0.46) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( 0.25) | 26.56% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.22% ( 0.33) | 61.77% ( -0.33) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.17% ( 0.53) | 38.83% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.44% ( 0.5) | 75.56% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 63 |
| 2 | Granada | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Levante | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 59 |
| 4 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Albacete | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | Burgos | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | Huesca | 33 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 41 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 41 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 40 |
| 15 | Leganes | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 40 |
| 16 | Real Oviedo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 39 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 38 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 37 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 34 |
| 20 | UD Ibiza | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 28 |
| 21 | Malaga | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 25 |
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