SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Cartagena |
40.66% ( 0.28) | 29.08% ( -0.08) | 30.26% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.2% ( 0.21) | 62.8% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.68% ( 0.15) | 82.32% ( -0.15) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.27) | 30.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.49% ( 0.32) | 66.5% ( -0.31) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -0.04) | 37.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.95% ( -0.04) | 74.05% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.37% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 69 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 39 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 67 |
| 3 | EibarEibar | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 67 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 5 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 49 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 17 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 28 |
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