SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Lugo |
54.08% ( 0.05) | 26.1% ( -0.01) | 19.81% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( 0.01) | 59.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.01) | 79.87% ( -0) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.02) | 22.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.44% ( 0.04) | 55.56% ( -0.03) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.04) | 45.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.99% ( -0.03) | 81.01% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.05% 2-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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