SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
33.06% ( -0.94) | 30.05% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.05) | 65.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.86% ( -0.04) | 84.14% ( 0.04) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( -0.7) | 36.58% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.63% ( -0.71) | 73.37% ( 0.71) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( 0.59) | 33.97% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.35% ( 0.64) | 70.64% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.05% | 0-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 13 | Leganes | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 53 |
| 14 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
