SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Lugo |
70.6% ( 0.02) | 19.56% ( 0.08) | 9.84% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 37.72% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.57) | 53.11% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( -0.49) | 74.68% ( 0.48) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.17) | 13.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.68% ( -0.34) | 41.32% ( 0.34) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.81% ( -0.57) | 56.19% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.42% ( -0.33) | 88.58% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 10% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 66 |
| 2 | Granada | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Levante | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Albacete | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 58 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 56 |
| 8 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 51 |
| 9 | Burgos | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 48 |
| 13 | TenerifeTenerife | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 46 |
| 14 | Huesca | 36 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 46 |
| 15 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Leganes | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 19 | Malaga | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 39 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 27 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
