Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Burgos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugo in this match.