SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | FC Andorra |
33.9% ( -0.01) | 28.53% ( 0.2) | 37.57% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.71) | 60.26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( -0.54) | 80.44% ( 0.55) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0.37) | 33.27% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.12% ( -0.42) | 69.88% ( 0.42) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.48) | 30.9% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.81% ( -0.57) | 67.19% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | FC Andorra |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 13 | Leganes | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 53 |
| 14 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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