SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Lugo |
48.71% ( -0.25) | 25.88% ( -0.34) | 25.41% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( 1.7) | 53.86% ( -1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 1.4) | 75.32% ( -1.41) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 0.6) | 22.13% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.49% ( 0.9) | 55.51% ( -0.9) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( 1.45) | 36.34% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.87% ( 1.44) | 73.12% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 55 |
| 9 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 10 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 39 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 28 |
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