SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
56.61% ( -0.02) | 22.24% ( 0.01) | 21.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.02) | 42.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.02) | 65.33% ( 0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( -0.02) | 14.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.59% ( -0.03) | 43.41% ( 0.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0) | 34.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.15% ( -0) | 70.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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