SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
69.3% ( -0.23) | 17.66% ( 0.11) | 13.04% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.2) | 58.68% ( 0.2) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( -0.1) | 9.52% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.09% ( -0.24) | 31.91% ( 0.24) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.07) | 39.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.44% ( 0.07) | 76.56% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.3% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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