SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
55.99% ( 2.92) | 23.02% ( -0.79) | 20.99% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.94) | 46.55% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( 0.88) | 68.82% ( -0.88) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 1.4) | 16.45% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.87% ( 2.46) | 46.13% ( -2.46) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( -1.49) | 36.37% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.85% ( -1.54) | 73.15% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.55)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.23)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 36 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 21 |
| 5 | Montrose | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 7 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 14 |
| 8 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 9 |
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