SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Clyde had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Clyde win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Clyde |
64.73% ( 0.07) | 21.58% ( -0.03) | 13.69% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( 0.01) | 52.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.01) | 73.92% ( -0.01) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( 0.03) | 15.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.69% ( 0.06) | 44.31% ( -0.05) |
| Clyde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.06) | 48.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.21% ( -0.04) | 83.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Clyde |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 64.73% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 13.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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