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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
59.65% ( -0.4) | 20.87% ( -0.1) | 19.47% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( 1.25) | 39.02% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( 1.3) | 61.34% ( -1.3) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( 0.28) | 12.75% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.98% ( 0.57) | 39.02% ( -0.57) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 1.25) | 33.56% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.8% ( 1.34) | 70.2% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.34)1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 59.65% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.87% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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