SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
46.66% ( -0.06) | 24.42% ( 0.02) | 28.92% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.08) | 45.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.07) | 67.8% ( 0.07) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.05) | 19.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.47% ( -0.09) | 51.53% ( 0.09) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.02) | 29.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.91% ( -0.02) | 65.09% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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