SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Clyde | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Edinburgh City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Falkirk |
45.59% ( -0.01) | 25.53% ( -0.05) | 28.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.24) | 50.29% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.21) | 72.24% ( -0.21) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.09) | 22.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.63% ( 0.14) | 55.37% ( -0.14) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( 0.17) | 31.66% ( -0.17) |
