SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.44%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
56.44% ( 0.41) | 21.69% ( -0.16) | 21.87% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.43) | 39.45% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( 0.45) | 61.79% ( -0.45) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.28) | 13.85% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.76% ( 0.54) | 41.24% ( -0.53) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0.02) | 31.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.09% ( 0.02) | 67.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.44% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 21.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 43 |
| 6 | Montrose | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 9 | Clyde | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 63 | -50 | 12 |
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