SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
62.87% ( 0.29) | 20.56% ( -0.04) | 16.57% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.26) | 42.49% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.1% ( -0.26) | 64.89% ( 0.26) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( -0) | 12.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.66% ( 0) | 39.34% ( -0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.46) | 38.86% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.4% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 62.86% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.56% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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