SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 56.45%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 22.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
56.45% ( 0.19) | 20.72% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.9% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.18) | 33.62% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.57% ( -0.21) | 55.43% ( 0.21) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( -0.01) | 11.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.67% ( -0.01) | 37.32% ( 0.01) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -0.25) | 27.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.09% ( -0.32) | 62.91% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.45% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 22.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | RostovRostov | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Fakel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Baltika | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
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