SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
55.66% ( 0.06) | 23.87% ( -0.04) | 20.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.12) | 50.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.11) | 72.61% ( -0.11) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.07) | 18.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.01% ( 0.12) | 48.98% ( -0.12) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.02% ( 0.05) | 75.98% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | RostovRostov | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Fakel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Baltika | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
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