SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 74%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
74% ( -0.51) | 16.65% ( 0.35) | 9.34% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( -1.14) | 42.4% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( -1.15) | 64.8% ( 1.15) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.42) | 9.91% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.17% ( -0.97) | 32.83% ( 0.97) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.43) | 50.4% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.07% ( -0.3) | 84.93% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 73.99% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.65% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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