SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Khimki win it was 2-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
11.81% ( -0.18) | 16.92% ( -0.05) | 71.27% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% ( -0.27) | 36.18% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% ( -0.29) | 58.29% ( 0.3) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.48) | 41.59% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.92% ( -0.42) | 78.08% ( 0.43) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.01) | 8.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.4% ( -0.03) | 30.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.41% Total : 11.81% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.92% | 0-2 @ 10.84% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.25% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.56% Total : 71.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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