SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
35.74% ( -0) | 25.76% | 38.5% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.01) | 49.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( 0.01) | 71.24% ( -0.01) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0) | 26.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.16% ( 0.01) | 61.84% ( -0) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( -0.01) |
