Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Samara Arena
Krylia Sovetov
5 - 1
Rostov
Khubulov (4'), Saltykov (10', 35'), Karpitskiy (73'), Ezhov (90+6' pen.)
Bijl (76')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Komlichenko (22')
Komlichenko (34'), Mironov (40'),
Mohebi (76'), Pesyakov (90+5')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Rostov.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
38.17% ( -2.06) | 26.92% ( 0.11) | 34.91% ( 1.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.03) |
| 45.88% ( -0.13) | 54.12% ( 0.13) |
| 24.46% ( -0.11) | 75.54% ( 0.11) |
| 72.46% ( -1.21) | 27.54% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.94% ( -1.59) | 63.06% ( 1.58) |
| 70.5% ( 1.19) | 29.5% ( -1.19) |
