SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
48.48% ( 0.06) | 26.15% ( -0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.05) | 54.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( 0.04) | 76.17% ( -0.04) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0.05) | 22.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.7% ( 0.07) | 56.3% ( -0.07) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.01) | 36.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.29% ( -0.01) | 73.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 55 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 46 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 45 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Sochi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 14 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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