SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
29.22% ( -0.03) | 25.99% ( -0.14) | 44.78% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( 0.53) | 51.98% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( 0.46) | 73.72% ( -0.46) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.26) | 32.29% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.21% ( 0.29) | 68.79% ( -0.3) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.31) | 23.13% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43% ( 0.45) | 57% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 54 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 42 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Sochi | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 24 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 22 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | KhimkiKhimki | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 13 |
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