Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
Result | ||
Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
38.52% ( -0.03) | 27.13% ( 0.01) | 34.35% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( -0.04) | 55.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% ( -0.03) | 76.29% ( 0.03) |
Rostov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( -0.03) | 27.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( -0.04) | 63.35% ( 0.04) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.01) | 30.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0.01) | 66.49% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rostov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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