Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 10.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
Result | ||
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
71.49% ( 0.08) | 17.81% ( -0.04) | 10.7% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% ( 0.07) | 43.56% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% ( 0.07) | 65.95% ( -0.08) |
Akhmat Grozny Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.13% ( 0.04) | 10.86% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.03% ( 0.09) | 34.97% ( -0.09) |
Khimki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.45% ( -0.02) | 83.55% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
2-0 @ 12.96% 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 17.81% | 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 10.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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