SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
39.78% ( -1.17) | 24.71% ( -0.46) | 35.51% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( 1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( 2.41) | 44.41% ( -2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( 2.3) | 66.78% ( -2.3) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.48) | 22.27% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.28% ( 0.71) | 55.72% ( -0.71) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 2.08) | 24.51% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.03% ( 2.84) | 58.97% ( -2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.76)2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.59)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Sochi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Fakel | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Baltika | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
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