SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
29.81% ( -0.02) | 26.31% ( -0.05) | 43.88% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( 0.19) | 53.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( 0.16) | 74.6% ( -0.16) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( 0.08) | 32.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.1% ( 0.09) | 68.9% ( -0.09) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.12) | 24.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.73% ( 0.16) | 58.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 54 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 53 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Fakel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 27 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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